The Standish Group’s 2015 “Chaos Report” tells us that
2% of “Grand” projects and 6% of large projects are successful … but 62% of small ones are
They appear to have agile religion, though, as they report 18% of “large” agile projects are successful, but only 3% of such waterfall projects report the same.
Perhaps the clue is in the title of the report – which I believe has been produced every year since 1994 – but it seems to me that success isn’t getting more likely.
It seems clear, since the beginning of time even, that the bigger the project is, the less likely it is to succeed. But that doesn’t help, given that you can’t make, say, Crossrail into a small project.
The trick, then, would be providing advice on how to make “Grand” and “Large” projects more likely to succeed. This time tomorrow, Rodney, we’ll be millionaires.
